Bitwise forecasts a 34.3% annual Bitcoin return through 2036 with a base case of $1.6 million, contrasting JP Morgan's 10% CAGR projection over the next decade in its latest capital market assumptions.

Bitcoin at $60,000 delivers 39% CAGR from $16,000 bear lows as supply in loss hits records, with 4h chart showing EMA support at $64004.88.

According to @BullTheoryio, BTC closed Christmas Day 2025 at $87,600, a 10.6% year-over-year decline from $98,000 on Christmas 2024 (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, the data show BTC rising from $0.25 on Christmas 2010 to $87,600 in 2025, implying an approximately 134% 15-year CAGR based on those figures (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, historical Christmas-to-Christmas drawdowns included 2014 (-53%), 2018 (-73%), and 2022 (-67%), underscoring high downside volatility relevant for risk sizing and stop placement (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, major upside Christmas prints included 2013 (+5,146%), 2017 (+1,463%), 2020 (+242%), 2021 (+105%), 2023 (+160%), and 2024 (+125%), highlighting boom-bust cycles that can favor trend-following strategies during momentum regimes (source: @BullTheoryio). According to @BullTheoryio, this Christmas price history offers clear reference levels for traders tracking BTC seasonality, long-term support and resistance, and headline risk into year-end (source: @BullTheoryio).